Friday, July 17, 2020

2020 Mariners Preview and Predictions: Does a 60 Game Season Bring Any Hope?



 By Gray Kinard

After a few months of uncertainty and negotiations, baseball is back, and with it come the predictions for the season upon us. This year things are going to be quite different. Instead of playing a full 162 games, the season will be shortened into a much smaller 60 game span, leaving many opportunities for teams to do better than expected.

Unfortunately, this leaves many fans with hope that they normally would not have. In this 60-game season all a team must do is get hot at the right time and they can bulldoze their way into the playoffs. It could really be any teams game. As a Mariner’s fan, however, the slight glimmer of hope for this year is also infuriating.

 Last year, the Mariners went an impressive 12-2 through the first 3 weeks of the season. Not only did they somehow do that, but hit an obscene amount of home runs in the process. That little glimmer of hope would not last at all as they would then fall back to their normal level of mediocrity, ultimately finishing the season 68-94 and at the bottom of the AL West.

Now as a Mariners fan I am quite used to this. Every year we get told as fans it is a new season and that anything can happen. Anything but make the playoffs that is. The Seattle Mariners have failed to reach the playoffs for the past 19 years, that appearance being in the 2001 season. We currently hold the longest active playoff drought in North American sports. That is just embarrassing considering some of the talent we have had on our team since 2001.

So, like every new season prior, it is time to predict where this underwhelming team will ultimately finish. Let us start with acquisitions. The Mariners throughout the 2019 season shipped off all players who were performing better than expected. After trading away Edwin Diaz and Robinson Cano to the Mets and one of their best pitchers in recent history, James Paxton, to the Yankees at the end of the 2018 season, it was obvious the franchise was stooping back down to its hope of building a new roster with talent that could get the team to the playoffs. However, they did not get anyone good from those deals. The only noteworthy players were prospect Justus Sheffield and veteran Jay Bruce. Sheffield did not see much action in the 2019 season appearing in only 8 games at the major league level and acquiring a 5.50 ERA. Bruce, on the other hand was playing alright acquiring 14 home runs in the first two months of the season. Not great for the Mariners but definitely serviceable.

So, the Mariners trading away 3 star players for some eh prospects and a veteran who they’d immediately trade away wasn’t great for the season. So, going into 2020 with a roster that has little talent and horrid front office management, their prospects of being a competitive team are not great.

With the season being only 60 games, and the MLB trying to reduce the amount of travel a team must do, the Mariners will be playing a lot more on the West Coast then they would normally do. As far as how hard that schedule is, let us look at it. Out of the 60 games total for the season, 24 of those are against playoff teams from 2019. The Athletics, Astros, and Dodgers were all featured in the postseason last year and they are all projected to get there again this year as well.

As far as the rest of the schedule goes, they will be facing teams that are on the brink, or close to being on the brink of being a postseason contender. The Angles, Padres, and Rangers are all heavily featured on their schedule and all of them either made moves during the offseason or have been acquiring talent the past few years to bolster their rosters.

With a schedule full of teams that try to make their teams better, there is little hope for the season. My prediction is that like last year, the Mariners will finish in last place yet again. As far as their record goes, there is little hope that they will be anywhere close to 500. My prediction is that they win 15-20 games while losing the other 40-45.

As a fan of the team it really hurts to say that they’ll only win 15 games, but with how they’ve played in the past few years and how their roster has shaped up this year, there is little to no hope. However, even with that, I will, as usual, have my fingers crossed that by some miracle they actually play competitive baseball.